Monday, December 11, 2023

The futility of anti-Russian sanctions

“You can’t fool everyone all the time”-Abraham Lincoln.

Whoever intends to weaken the vital forces of a nation should think about all the consequences: for the chosen target, for the one who promotes the damage and for third parties. In today’s world, one should also take into account the interdependence of the actors in the Global economy in which a single supply is the result of the work of many, regardless of their location.

The anti-Russian Western Sanctions, with which the USA seek to achieve the success of their geopolitical agenda and immediate objectives, they seem to exaggerate the damage that such measures should do to their declared archenemy: the Russian Federation.

And it is that it is not about any objective-nation. Russia stands out for its enormous natural resources, including energy, its military and aerospace industry, vast territory (more than 17 million square kilometers) and war power.

In addition, it has its traditional spheres of influence since Soviet times, made up of dozens of African, Arab, Asian and Latin American countries. Likewise, his long string of large-scale war experiences, such as the First and Second World Wars, and his recent military incursions in the Middle East, are not insignificant.

In short, Russia has something to lean on, both inside and outside its territory, its military power being undoubtedly impressive. Taking into account this objective reality, to which is added the strong prevalence of a nationalist sentiment and national pride that could not be

weakened by the 1941-45 war of extermination waged against it, second-generation Western sanctions -those that find their justification in the “Russian invasion” of the Ukraine- seem ineffective or, worse still, against all Western predictions, have ended up strengthening to a half-asleep giant.

That being the case, we see how the sanctions end up strengthening the Russian economy and encouraging and accelerating the large-scale development of its prodigious military-aerospace complex. Worse still, the cornering of Russia now seriously questions the unipolar order that emerged from the ruins of the Soviet Union. In a special way, one of the main pillars of that order: the dollar as its reserve currency par excellence.

Obviously, sooner or later, someone must pay the price for the inadvertent results of endless sanctions on the Russian economy and technology, such as the incredible sequestration of $300 billion of Russian assets in Western banks: a remarkable act of global piracy to the best colonial style.

The sanctions are a blunder by the West, apart from the fact that they question the very legality of the unipolar and abusive order that it is intended to defend and preserve at all costs.

Yes, while its promoters suffer from a relative high inflationscarcity of certain supplies, excessively expensive energy sources and threats of social upheavals, Russia is gaining influence in the world with its discourse of respect for the sovereignty of the peoples and non-interference -under no circumstances- in their internal affairs.

But… and Ukraine? The case of Ukraine is not an invasion or disrespect for national sovereignty: it is a defense of Russia’s security against a NATO whose expansionist plans seem to have no limits. It is the recovery of territories that have never been

actually from Ukraine, but historically from Russia. They do not speak Ukrainian (a misappropriation of Russian), but Russian.

For the West, the Russia-Ukraine conflict is just a pretext for resorting to extremes that pay multi-billion dollar dividends to its military complexes (so far USD 55 billion in aid). It is not Ukrainian sovereignty that is at stake, it is the absolute supremacy of a few very rich and accustomed Western powers, since the fateful and bloody colonial era, of dictating the rules to the entire world.

Russia suddenly rises from the rubble of the USSR, for the first time in a globally evident way. Its economy is not decimated, which was the bet, but strengthened: it will grow faster this year than Germany and the United Kingdom, with the result that, by 2024, according to credible forecasts, it will exceed the growth of the United States, Japan, Italy and other nations. .

In addition, its political, economic and military relevance in Asia, the Middle East, Africa and South America is becoming increasingly visible.

By: Julio Santana


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